Premier League · MW4Sat, 12 Sept 2026 Villa Park, BirminghamRef: Andy Madley

Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest result, stats and report

Aston Villa

Lost · xG 1.06

1 – 2

FT 08:05

Nottingham Forest

Won · xG 2.38

Match review

Next: Aston Villa v Manchester City · Sat 24 Oct · Ipswich v Nottingham Forest · Fri 23 Oct

How the model called it

2 of 3 right

Aston Villa41.8%Wrong

Draw24.9%

Nottingham Forest33.2%Landed

Over 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 59.2%, so the model leaned overRight

Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 61%, so the model leaned yesRight

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

Over 1.5 goalsPublished 10 Sept, 19:53 · before kick-offWon

Logged at 1.35 with Betfair Exchange

Betfair Exchange offered 1.35 when we checked at 01:05 on 12 Sept.

Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.

The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

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Aston Villa12th18th → 12th
Nottingham Forest19th16th → 19th

After 7 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Both teams to scoreWon

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Value rowsIn the review

Closing line valueSettled per row

Props edgesIn the review

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Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest result, stats and report

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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Plus review