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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.
Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest, full time in the Premier League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 4 times in the fixtures we hold, with Aston Villa winning 2, Nottingham Forest winning 1 and 1 drawn.
Nottingham Forest came to Villa Park and took all three points with a 2-1 win, and Aston Villa have absolutely nobody to blame but themselves. They were outworked, outshot, and outthought.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest came to Villa Park and took all three points with a 2-1 win, and Aston Villa have absolutely nobody to blame but themselves. They were outworked, outshot, and outthought.
Nottingham Forest won 2-1 away at Aston Villa.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Aston Villa 1.06 to Nottingham Forest 2.38 on expected goals.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Aston Villa to win
Result
1:2
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest
Our model backs Aston Villa to win at Villa Park on Saturday, 12 September at 14:00 UTC, pricing the home victory at 42 percent probability. Villa have won two of their last five league matches while Forest have managed just one draw in the same span. In their last four meetings, Aston Villa hold a 2-1 head-to-head advantage over Nottingham Forest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest · Premier League ·
More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Aston Villa win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Full-time forecast audit: Aston Villa win was the highest probability; the match result was Nottingham Forest win.
Forecast result checked ·
Logged at 1.35 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 1.35 when we checked at 01:05 on 12 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Logged at 1.35 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 1.35 when we checked at 01:05 on 12 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.
Open the ledgerAfter 7 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
