La Liga · MW3Fri, 28 Aug 2026 Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-GasteizRef: Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos

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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Villarreal result, stats and report

Deportivo Alaves

Won · xG 0.52

1 – 0

Villarreal

Lost · xG 0.93

Match review

Next: Barcelona v Deportivo Alaves · Sat 31 Oct · Villarreal v Espanyol · Fri 30 Oct

How the model called it

1 of 3 right

Deportivo Alaves32.4%Landed

Draw27.2%

Villarreal40.4%Wrong

Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 rated 47.9%, so the model leaned underRight

Both teams to scoreBTTS rated 54%, so the model leaned yesWrong

Published Tip · settled

Immutable ledger

Under 2.5 goalsPublished 24 Aug, 04:35 · before kick-offWon

Logged at 2.10 with Betfair Exchange

Betfair Exchange offered 2.10 when we checked at 01:05 on 28 Aug.

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The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.

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Table impact

Full table →

Deportivo Alaves7th14th → 7th
Villarreal10th3rd → 10th

After 10 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.

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Pick outcome

Under 2.5 goalsWon

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Value rowsIn the review

Closing line valueSettled per row

Props edgesIn the review

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Deportivo Alaves 1-0 Villarreal result, stats and report

Highlights

How the model called it

Published Tip · settled

Table impact

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Plus review