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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Lucas Boyé's 31st-minute finish proved the difference as Deportivo Alaves ground out a disciplined 1-0 win over Villarreal, keeping a clean sheet despite facing 76 per cent possession and 19 shots from the visitors.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
9
19
2
6
24%
76%
ShotsOn targetPossession
Provider final · 08:15 · archive check in progressFull stats →
The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.
📊 Match recap and data context
Deportivo Alaves beat Villarreal 1-0 at home in La Liga, a result that cost our model its pick of a Villarreal win at 40 percent probability. The hosts controlled the match through disciplined defending; Villarreal managed only limited chances despite their recent form. Alaves' defensive solidity proved decisive on the day, holding firm against a side that had won their last outing. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Villarreal win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.4%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Deportivo Alaves
32.4%
Draw
27.2%
Villarreal
40.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
47.9%
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 04:35won
Under 2.5 goalsat 2.10
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record 8069aac1-502e-4c42-8ed0-59ddab7fcd59 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
For Villarreal, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 20 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Villarreal, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 20 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
For Deportivo Alaves, the final recorded goal situation matched 23 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
2-1is the most common scoreline between Deportivo Alaves and Villarreal, landing 4 times across 18 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
14/18recorded league meetings saw both teams score (77.8%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
5league matches away from home unbeaten for Villarreal.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Deportivo Alaves scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Villarreal scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Deportivo Alaves have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
▸What was the final score in Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal?