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Saudi Pro League · MW8Ref: Abdullah bin Fahad bin Abdulaziz Al-Owaidan
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Al Fateh 0-4 Al Ahli result, stats and report

Al Fateh
Lost · xG 0.37
0 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.91
Al Ahli
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Al Ahli v Al Nassr · Fri 20 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al FatehAl AhliSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Ahli win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FAT
28.5%
Draw
25.6%
AHL
45.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.3%
Over 2.5 goals
56.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
26%
46%
28.5%FAT
25.6%Draw
45.8%AHL

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.3%No 40.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AHL or draw at 56.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
37.6%
12
5.6%
X2
56.8%

Half-Time Result

FAT
24.8%
Draw
40.2%
AHL
35.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FAT
Draw
AHL
FAT
16.8%
4.9%
3.9%
Draw
10.0%
14.2%
15.9%
AHL
2.7%
6.1%
25.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.