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Saudi Pro League · MW8

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
9 Oct
FAT 29%Draw 25%AHL 46%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Al Fateh or Al Ahli?

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli kicks off UK time in the Saudi Pro League. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Al Ahli won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

AHL has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
FAT28.9%
Draw24.8%
AHL46.4%
BTTS yes58.9%

Updated

Over 2.555.8%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
7.1
xG for
4▼ -3.1
Goals
10.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
12.9
xG for
15▲ +2.1
Goals
7.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Al FatehNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Al Fateh recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L21.34
2L11.41
3D00.82
4D00.45
5D11.38
6L01.67
Al AhliNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Al Ahli recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W35.50
2L21.23
3W52.15
4L01.12
5L10.74
6W42.16
Al Fateh have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 3 points against 5.9 expected. Al Ahli have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 11.1 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Al Fateh generated 7.1 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 4, 3.1 below that chance total. Al Ahli generated 12.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 2.1 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

FAT: 6 matches · AHL: 6
Recent team comparison. Al Fateh sample 6; Al Ahli sample 6.
MeasureAl FatehAl Ahli
Goals / game0.672.5
Conceded / game1.331.67
xG / game1.182.15
xG conceded / game1.81.18
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Al Fateh v Al Ahli

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:55
FAT11 starters
1Pacheco
17Saadane
15Baattia
78Al-Suwailem
87Al-Tumbukti
33Youssouf
28Bendebka
11Batna
80Al-Abdulwahed
7Sbaï
27Al-Zubaidi
AHL11 starters
16Mendy
3Ibañez
28Demiral
46Hamed
2Hawsawi
6Atangana
10Millot
14Al-Muwallad
30Al-Johani
17Toney
13Galeno
Out / doubtful
🩹 Marwane Saadane injury · 🩹 Naif Masoud injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

The match kicks off at 14:55 UTC on October 9, 2026. Al Fateh have drawn three of their last five Saudi Pro League games while Al Ahli won two of theirs, though the visitors have conceded in four straight outings. Al Ahli won their sole recent meeting. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Al Fateh v Al Ahli · Saudi Pro League ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
    Al Fateh vs Al Ahli takes place on Friday 9 October at 15:55 (UK time) in the Saudi Pro League.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Al Fateh and Al Ahli?
    In their last 1 meetings, Al Fateh won 0, Al Ahli won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Saudi Pro League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Al Fateh vs Al Ahli free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Al Fateh vs Al Ahli are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 9 Oct, 15:55 BST

No alternative Tips are published right now

The public ledger and methodology remain available, and you can follow this fixture for the next verified match update.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.