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Al Ahli vs Al Nassr kicks off UK time in the Saudi Pro League. Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59.9% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Al Nassr won it.
Match intelligence · not a tip
AHL v ANA: what the model sees
Match-result probability · model
A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.
Al Ahli recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
Match
Result
Goals
xG
1
L
1
0.67
2
W
4
3.01
3
W
3
2.83
4
W
4
1.91
5
W
3
5.50
6
L
2
1.23
Al NassrNewest first
W5 / 3.4
W3 / 0.6
W1 / 2.4
W3 / 2.3
D1 / 1.6
W2 / 1.3
Goals · outlined xG
Al Nassr recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
Match
Result
Goals
xG
1
W
5
3.41
2
W
3
0.61
3
W
1
2.41
4
W
3
2.29
5
D
1
1.59
6
W
2
1.32
Al Nassr have taken more points than their chances were worth: 16 points against 12.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Al Ahli generated 15.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 17, 1.8 above that chance total. Al Nassr generated 11.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 3.4 above that chance total.
Team comparison · recent form
AHL: 6 matches · ANA: 6
Recent team comparison. Al Ahli sample 6; Al Nassr sample 6.
Measure
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
Goals / game
2.83
2.5
Conceded / game
2.17
1
xG / game
2.53
1.93
xG conceded / game
1.53
0.83
2.83Goals / game2.5
2.17Conceded / game1
2.53xG / game1.93
1.53xG conceded / game0.83
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch
How to watch Al Ahli v Al Nassr
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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Al Ahli head into Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash having lost three of their last five, while Al Nassr arrive with seven wins from their last ten. Something has to give.
Al Ahli hosts Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League on October 15 at 18:00 UTC. Al Ahli have won two of their last five matches but lost three; Al Nassr arrive in stronger form with three wins from five and both teams to score in 80% of their recent outings. The teams have met once before, with Al Nassr winning that encounter. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals (totals), with around 60% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
▸What is the head-to-head record between Al Ahli and Al Nassr?
In their last 1 meetings, Al Ahli won 0, Al Nassr won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
▸How can I watch Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Saudi Pro League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
▸Are SportSignals predictions for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr free?
Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record
Tip decision pending
The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.
Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 6 Mar, 19:00 GMT
Broadcaster listings come from our fixture provider, the referee from the fixture appointment, and team news from the clubs' and reporters' own accounts. A fact we do not hold is left out rather than guessed.
Quick answers
What time is Al Ahli v Al Nassr?
19:00 UK time on Saturday 6 March, Saudi Pro League.