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Saudi Pro League · MW9

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Al Ahli vs Al Nassr prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
6 Mar
AHL 46%Draw 25%ANA 30%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Al Ahli or Al Nassr?

Al Ahli vs Al Nassr kicks off UK time in the Saudi Pro League. Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59.9% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Al Nassr won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

AHL v ANA: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Al Ahli and Al Nassr, landing 4 times across 20 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 14/20recorded league meetings saw both teams score (70%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 43league matches at home unbeaten for Al Ahli.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 41league matches away from home unbeaten for Al Nassr.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Al Ahli scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Al Nassr scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Al Ahli have averaged 2.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Al Nassr have averaged 2.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Edouard Mendy has the highest listed average xGOT for Al Ahli at 1.00 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Cristiano Ronaldo has the highest listed average xGOT for Al Nassr at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 10

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Updates delayed; showing the last verified snapshot.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
15.2
xG for
17▲ +1.8
Goals
9.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
11.6
xG for
15▲ +3.4
Goals
5.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Al AhliNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Al Ahli recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L10.67
2W43.01
3W32.83
4W41.91
5W35.50
6L21.23
Al NassrNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Al Nassr recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W53.41
2W30.61
3W12.41
4W32.29
5D11.59
6W21.32
Al Nassr have taken more points than their chances were worth: 16 points against 12.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Al Ahli generated 15.2 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 17, 1.8 above that chance total. Al Nassr generated 11.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 3.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

AHL: 6 matches · ANA: 6
Recent team comparison. Al Ahli sample 6; Al Nassr sample 6.
MeasureAl AhliAl Nassr
Goals / game2.832.5
Conceded / game2.171
xG / game2.531.93
xG conceded / game1.530.83
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Al Ahli v Al Nassr

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:00
AHL11 starters
1Al-Sanbi
16Mendy
3Ibañez
31Balobaid
28Demiral
15Baattia
6Atangana
Trincão
17Toney
13Galeno
9Al-Buraikan
ANA11 starters
24Bento
12Boushal
26Martínez
3Simakan
5Al-Amri
12Costa
17Al-Khaibari
10Mané
79Félix
20Ângelo
Out / doubtful
No recorded injuries or doubts for either side.
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

Al Ahli hosts Al Nassr in the Saudi Pro League on October 15 at 18:00 UTC. Al Ahli have won two of their last five matches but lost three; Al Nassr arrive in stronger form with three wins from five and both teams to score in 80% of their recent outings. The teams have met once before, with Al Nassr winning that encounter. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Al Ahli v Al Nassr · Saudi Pro League ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
    Al Ahli vs Al Nassr takes place on Saturday 6 March at 19:00 (UK time) in the Saudi Pro League.
  • Who is the model backing in Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
    Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals (totals), with around 60% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Al Ahli and Al Nassr?
    In their last 1 meetings, Al Ahli won 0, Al Nassr won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Saudi Pro League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 6 Mar, 19:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.