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This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Al Ahli 3-1 Al Hazm, full time in the Saudi Pro League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Al Ahli won it.
Al Ahli were far too good for Al Hazm on Friday night, with Ivan Toney and Francisco Trincão combining to put the game to bed before half-time. Al Hazm had no answer for a side that created nine big chances and dominated every meaningful statistic.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Al Ahli 3–1 Al Hazm
Al Ahli were far too good for Al Hazm on Friday night, with Ivan Toney and Francisco Trincão combining to put the game to bed before half-time. Al Hazm had no answer for a side that created nine big chances and dominated every meaningful statistic.
Al Ahli beat Al Hazm 3-1 at home.
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
The chances backed the result: Al Ahli 5.50 to Al Hazm 1.95 on expected goals.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Al Ahli to win
Result
3:1
AHL v HAZ
Al Ahli beat Al Hazm 3-1 in the Saudi Pro League, landing our model's 77% pick for an Al Ahli win. The visitors dominated a one-sided contest after a sluggish start; Al Ahli's attacking play overwhelmed a fragile Al Hazm defence that had won just once in five matches. Both sides had shown BTTS tendencies recently, though Al Ahli's superior form proved decisive. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Al Ahli v Al Hazm · Saudi Pro League ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Al Ahli win the highest 1X2 probability at 77.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Full-time forecast audit: Al Ahli win was the highest probability; the match result was Al Ahli win.
Forecast result checked ·
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
After 11 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
