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Saudi Pro League ยท MW7Ref: Khaled Al Teris
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Ahli 3-1 Al Hazm result, stats and report

Al Ahli
Won ยท xG 5.50
3 โ€“ 1
FT
Lost ยท xG 1.95
Al Hazm
Next: Al Fateh v Al Ahli ยท Fri 9 Oct ยท Al Hazm v NEOM SC ยท Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al AhliAl HazmSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Ahli win the highest 1X2 probability at 77.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AHL
77.2%
Draw
15.7%
HAZ
7.1%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
45.9%
Over 2.5 goals
60.2%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

77%
16%
77.2%AHL
15.7%Draw
7.1%HAZ

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 45.9%No 54.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.2%No 39.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AHL or draw at 73.8%; the most likely half-time state is AHL leading at half-time at 53.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 23.6%.

Double Chance

1X
73.8%
12
4.5%
X2
21.7%

Half-Time Result

AHL
53.0%
Draw
34.6%
HAZ
12.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AHL
Draw
HAZ
AHL
52.1%
3.1%
0.7%
Draw
19.0%
10.8%
3.2%
HAZ
3.4%
3.1%
4.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
23.6%
No
76.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.