Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Eredivisie · MW3 Johan Cruijff Arena, AmsterdamRef: Allard Lindhout
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Ajax 5-1 Willem II result, stats and report

Ajax
Won · xG 3.35
5 – 1
FT 11:45
Lost · xG 1.23
Willem II
Next: Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax · Sun 25 Oct · PSV Eindhoven v Willem II · Sat 31 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Ajax vs Willem II?

Ajax 5-1 Willem II, full time in the Eredivisie. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

How it played out

Ajax won it 5–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 11:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Ajax 5–1 Willem II

Ajax put Willem II to the sword with a commanding 5-1 win at home, with two goals before the break setting the platform for a second-half rout that exposed every weakness in the visitors' defensive standards.

Key Takeaways
Result

Ajax beat Willem II 5-1 at home.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Ajax 3.35 to Willem II 1.23 on expected goals.

First Goal
D
41'⚽
Davy Klaassen
KAssist: Kasper Dolberg
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Ajax 3.35 xGWillem II 1.23 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Ajax to win

63%Matched

Result

Ajax5:1Willem II

Ajax v WIL

Our model called Ajax to win at 63%. Ajax 5-1 Willem II. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Ajax dominated Willem II at the Johan Cruijff Arena, winning 5-1 in a one-sided Eredivisie encounter. Our model backed an Ajax victory at 63 percent probability, and the pick landed comfortably. Davy Klaassen opened the scoring in the 41st minute, with Julian Brandt and Viktor Tsygankov adding goals in the second half as Ajax's superior quality showed throughout. The hosts' recent form of four wins in five matches proved decisive against a Willem II side that offered little resistance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Ajax v Willem II · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Oscar GloukhAjax★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min10.0
  2. Kasper Dolberg1 goal · 2 assists · 90 min8.9
  3. Julian Brandt1 goal · 67 min8.8
  4. Youri BaasAjax90 min7.9
  5. Viktor Tsygankov1 goal · 33 min7.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 63.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Ajax
63.5%
Draw
21.0%
WIL
15.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.8%
Over 2.5 goals
56.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Ajax win was the highest probability; the match result was Ajax win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Ajax and Willem II, landing 2 times across 17 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9/17recorded league meetings saw both teams score (52.9%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 45league matches at home unbeaten for Ajax.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ajax scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Willem II scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ajax have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Willem II have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Thilo Kehrer has the highest listed average xGOT for Ajax at 0.89 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Devin Haen has the highest listed average xGOT for Willem II at 0.56 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Ajax vs Willem II?
    Ajax beat WIL 5-1 in the Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Davy Klaassen opened the scoring in the 41st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Davy Klaassen (41'), Julian Brandt (45'), Viktor Tsygankov (69'), Oscar Gloukh (74'), Alessandro Ciranni (76'), Kasper Dolberg (87').
  • Who refereed the match?
    Allard Lindhout officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Ajax vs WIL kicked off on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 UK time at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    16 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Ajax play Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. WIL play PSV Eindhoven on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.