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Eredivisie · Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 19:00 KO Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Ajax vs Willem II prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
15 Sept
Ajax 68%Draw 19%WIL 13%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

AjaxWillem IIEredivisie

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 68.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Ajax
68.1%
Draw
19.2%
WIL
12.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.5%
Over 2.5 goals
57.8%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

68%
19%
13%
68.1%Ajax
19.2%Draw
12.7%WIL

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.8%No 42.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ajax or draw at 68.4%; the most likely half-time state is Ajax leading at half-time at 49.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 17.6%.

Double Chance

1X
68.4%
12
5.4%
X2
26.1%

Half-Time Result

Ajax
49.0%
Draw
35.1%
WIL
15.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Ajax
Draw
WIL
Ajax
43.2%
4.8%
1.9%
Draw
17.4%
11.4%
5.4%
WIL
3.9%
3.9%
8.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
17.6%
No
82.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.