Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Eredivisie · MW5 Johan Cruijff Arena, AmsterdamRef: Sander van der Eijk
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Ajax 1-3 PSV Eindhoven result, stats and report

Ajax
Lost · xG 1.37
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.48
PSV Eindhoven
Next: Ajax v NEC Nijmegen · Sat 10 Oct · RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven · Tue 13 Oct
Skip match sections

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven: what we can confirm

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven has finished in the Eredivisie. Played UK time.

Match Review · published 5 Sept 2026, 23:30 BST

PSV Win 3-1 at Ajax: Early Goal, Half-Time Sucker Punch, and a Total Collapse in Discipline

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

PSV Eindhoven put Ajax to the sword in Amsterdam, winning 3-1 in a match that was settled by the basics: clinical finishing, a goal right on half-time, and an Ajax side that could not convert a mountain of possession into results. The better team won. End of.

Read the review
How it played out

PSV Eindhoven won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Provider final · 18:25 · archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

📊 Match recap and data context

Ajax fell to PSV Eindhoven 3-1 at the Johan Cruijff Arena, a result that proved costly for our model's 43% pick on a home win. PSV's superior recent form, four wins in their last five, showed decisively; Ajax had won two of their previous five but could not sustain momentum. Both sides had scored in each of Ajax's last five outings, yet PSV's clinical finishing overwhelmed that pattern. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Ajax v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lutsharel Geertruida★ MOTM1 goal · 73 min7.6
  2. Matej KovarPSV Eindhoven90 min7.4
  3. Sergiño DestPSV Eindhoven90 min7.4
  4. Jorthy MokioAjax73 min7.3
  5. Tolu Arokodare1 goal · 61 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Ajax
43.0%
Draw
21.8%
PSV Eindhoven
35.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
69.1%
Over 2.5 goals
70.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, landing 4 times across 26 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 15/26recorded league meetings saw both teams score (57.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 45league matches at home unbeaten for Ajax.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 43league matches away from home unbeaten for PSV Eindhoven.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ajax scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • PSV Eindhoven scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ajax have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • PSV Eindhoven have averaged 3.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Davy Klaassen has the highest listed average xGOT for Ajax at 0.49 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Ricardo Pepi has the highest listed average xGOT for PSV Eindhoven at 0.63 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven?
    PSV Eindhoven beat Ajax 3-1 in the Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ricardo Pepi opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ricardo Pepi (5'), Tolu Arokodare (23'), Lutsharel Geertruida (46'), Esmir Bajraktarevic (92').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 10 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Sander van der Eijk officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven kicked off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 UK time at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    2 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Ajax to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Ajax play NEC Nijmegen on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time. PSV Eindhoven play RB Leipzig on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.