Ajax vs FC Groningen

Our model backs Ajax at 48% probability in their Eredivisie clash with FC Groningen at Johan Cruijff Arena on May 21st at 16:45 UTC, with best odds of 1.80 at Betfair Exchange UK. Ajax have won two of their last five but drawn twice, while Groningen arrive unbeaten in their last four matches and have scored in three consecutive games. The visitors' recent form and attacking threat make this a competitive fixture despite Ajax's home advantage. 18+. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Ajax seek stability in title race finale; fifth place demands points. Groningen fighting for mid-table security at ninth. Our model identifies Ajax's 60% clean sheet rate against Groningen's 75% BTTS likelihood as key tension. Home advantage favours Ajax, though recent draw at Heerenveen suggests caution. Season context: both sides chasing specific targets with 2 matches remaining.

Ajax v FC Groningen · Eredivisie · 21/05/2026, 17:45:00