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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW21Ref: Erik Mattsson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AIK 1-4 Västerås SK result, stats and report

AIK
Lost · xG 2.46
1 – 4
FT 06:35
Won · xG 1.64
Västerås SK
Next: AIK v Elfsborg · Tue 27 Oct · Degerfors v Västerås SK · Wed 28 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AIKVästerås SKSwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives AIK win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AIK
44.3%
Draw
23.9%
VÄS
31.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
65.1%
Over 2.5 goals
63.1%

Full-time forecast audit: AIK win was the highest probability; the match result was Västerås SK win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
24%
32%
44.3%AIK
23.9%Draw
31.9%VÄS

Both Teams to Score

65%
Yes 65.1%No 34.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 63.1%No 36.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AIK or draw at 57.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.2%.

Double Chance

1X
57.7%
12
4.4%
X2
37.9%

Half-Time Result

AIK
36.0%
Draw
38.5%
VÄS
25.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AIK
Draw
VÄS
AIK
25.9%
6.2%
2.7%
Draw
15.4%
14.2%
9.9%
VÄS
3.4%
5.7%
16.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.2%
No
89.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.