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Swedish Allsvenskan · MW19Ref: Glenn Nyberg
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AIK 3-2 Hammarby result, stats and report

AIK
Won · xG 2.10
3 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 4.06
Hammarby
Next: AIK v IFK Göteborg · Sat 17 Oct · Halmstad v Hammarby · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AIKHammarbySwedish Allsvenskan

The provider forecast gives Hammarby win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AIK
30.0%
Draw
24.2%
HAM
45.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.6%
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

30%
24%
46%
30.0%AIK
24.2%Draw
45.8%HAM

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.6%No 40.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.0%No 40.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates HAM or draw at 56.2%; the most likely half-time state is HAM leading at half-time at 39.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.8%.

Double Chance

1X
38.8%
12
5.0%
X2
56.2%

Half-Time Result

AIK
23.0%
Draw
37.2%
HAM
39.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AIK
Draw
HAM
AIK
15.2%
5.3%
3.3%
Draw
9.2%
14.2%
13.1%
HAM
1.6%
6.3%
31.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.8%
No
95.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.