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Scottish Premiership · MW9Ref: John Beaton
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Aberdeen 3-1 St. Mirren result, stats and report

Aberdeen
Won · xG 2.35
3 – 1
FT 04:05
Lost · xG 1.39
St. Mirren
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen · Sat 21 Nov · Celtic v St. Mirren · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AberdeenSt. MirrenScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Aberdeen win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ABE
45.8%
Draw
24.2%
STM
30.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.6%
Over 2.5 goals
58.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Aberdeen win was the highest probability; the match result was Aberdeen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
24%
30%
45.8%ABE
24.2%Draw
30.0%STM

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 59.6%No 40.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.7%No 41.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ABE or draw at 53.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.1%.

Double Chance

1X
53.2%
12
5.1%
X2
41.8%

Half-Time Result

ABE
36.1%
Draw
39.6%
STM
24.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ABE
Draw
STM
ABE
28.5%
5.3%
2.1%
Draw
14.9%
14.3%
10.5%
STM
3.6%
5.7%
15.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.1%
No
90.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.