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Scottish Premiership · MW14

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
21 Nov
KIL 49%Draw 26%ABE 26%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Kilmarnock or Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen kicks off UK time in the Scottish Premiership. Our model's pick is Kilmarnock to win at a 48.9% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Kilmarnock winning 0, Aberdeen winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

KIL has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
KIL48.7%
Draw25.7%
ABE25.6%
BTTS yes54.1%

Updated

Over 2.550.4%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
11.5
xG for
8▼ -3.5
Goals
11.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
9.9
xG for
6▼ -3.9
Goals
9.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
KilmarnockNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Kilmarnock recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D23.24
2L12.78
3L01.77
4W31.87
5L11.38
6D10.42
AberdeenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Aberdeen recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L01.37
2L01.68
3L22.06
4W32.35
5L01.60
6D10.84
Kilmarnock have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 5 points against 8.1 expected. Aberdeen have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 4 points against 8.3 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Kilmarnock generated 11.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 3.5 below that chance total. Aberdeen generated 9.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 6, 3.9 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

KIL: 6 matches · ABE: 6
Recent team comparison. Kilmarnock sample 6; Aberdeen sample 6.
MeasureKilmarnockAberdeen
Goals / game1.331
Conceded / game2.331.83
xG / game1.921.65
xG conceded / game1.931.65
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Kilmarnock v Aberdeen

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:00
KIL11 starters
58McCarthy
14Stanger
21Schjönning-Larsen
2Brandon
18Lowery
36Tshibola
49Rice
11Kiltie
20Hugill
12Ring
24John-Jules
ABE11 starters
29Müller
12Cadden
12Guinness-Walker
21Molloy
5Knoester
22Milne
32Aremu
8Lyons
15Smith
15Nisbet
20Olusanya
Out / doubtful
🩹 Maksymilian Stryjek injury · 🩹 Matty Kennedy injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen · Scottish Premiership ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
    Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen takes place on Saturday 21 November at 15:00 (UK time) in the Scottish Premiership.
  • Who is the model backing in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
    Our model's pick is Kilmarnock to win (match result), with around 49% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?
    In their last 2 meetings, Kilmarnock won 0, Aberdeen won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Scottish Premiership coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 21 Nov, 15:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.