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Scottish Premiership · MW9Ref: John Beaton
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Aberdeen 3-1 St. Mirren result, stats and report

Aberdeen
Won · xG 2.35
3 – 1
FT 04:05
Lost · xG 1.39
St. Mirren
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Aberdeen v Hibernian · Sat 7 Nov · St. Mirren v Rangers · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

Aberdeen 3-1 St. Mirren, full time in the Scottish Premiership. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 3 times in the fixtures we hold, with Aberdeen winning 0, St. Mirren winning 2 and 1 drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

ABE won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 04:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Aberdeen 3–1 St. Mirren

Aberdeen host St. Mirren on Saturday looking to arrest a run of three defeats in their last five Scottish Premiership matches. The problem is, St. Mirren have not lost to Aberdeen in any of their last three meetings.

Key Takeaways
Result

Aberdeen beat St. Mirren 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Aberdeen 2.35 to St. Mirren 1.39 on expected goals.

First Goal
B
2'⚽
Brad Lyons
CAssist: Connor Ronan
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Aberdeen 2.35 xGSt. Mirren 1.39 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Aberdeen to win

46%Matched

Result

Aberdeen3:1St. Mirren

ABE v STM

Our model called Aberdeen to win at 46%. Aberdeen 3-1 St. Mirren. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Aberdeen have won just one of their last five, though both sides show contrasting form; St. Mirren arrive unbeaten in three but have conceded in none of their recent outings. Head-to-head, the visitors hold the edge with two wins from three meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Aberdeen v St. Mirren · Scottish Premiership ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Marius MüllerABE★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Killian PhillipsSTM1 assist · 90 min7.5
  3. Brad LyonsABE1 goal · 46 min7.2
  4. Jacob ChapmanSTM90 min7.2
  5. Afeez AremuABE1 assist · 90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Aberdeen win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ABE
45.8%
Draw
24.2%
STM
30.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.6%
Over 2.5 goals
58.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Aberdeen win was the highest probability; the match result was Aberdeen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For St. Mirren, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 66 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For St. Mirren, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Aberdeen, the final recorded goal situation matched 6 comparable matches from 66 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Aberdeen, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-1is the most common scoreline between Aberdeen and St. Mirren, landing 4 times across 28 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 16/28recorded league meetings saw both teams score (57.1%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for St. Mirren.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Aberdeen scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • St. Mirren scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Aberdeen have averaged 0.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?
    ABE beat STM 3-1 in the Scottish Premiership.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Brad Lyons opened the scoring in the 2nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Brad Lyons (2'), Eseosa Sule (42'), Kevin Nisbet (58'), Ayoub Mouloua (72').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    John Beaton officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ABE vs STM kicked off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    ABE play Aberdeen on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. STM play St. Mirren on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.