This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
Across the 3 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Sporting CP scored 8 from 5.3 expected goals and conceded 5 from 2.5 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 2.7 goals and the defence conceded 2.5 more than expected. Coverage is 3 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 8 scored from 5.3 xG, 5 conceded from 2.5 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
