SportSignals

Rotherham United xG 2025/26

League OneVerified dataSportSignals rating 1371
Recent form
L-W-L-L-L
5 latest covered matches
Latest result
L 2-3 v Wycombe Wanderers
2 May 2026
Next fixture
v West Brom
Sat 8 Aug, 17:30
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation

The Rotherham United xG picture

Updated

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Rotherham United scored 5 from 3.8 expected goals and conceded 9 from 6.7 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 1.2 goals and the defence conceded 2.3 more than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches
Attack: goals vs expected
Goals scored5
Expected (xG)3.8
Overperformed by 1.2 goals in covered matches
Defence: conceded vs expected
Goals conceded9
Expected against (xGA)6.7
Conceded 2.3 more than expected in covered matches
xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Rotherham United better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 5 scored from 3.8 xG, 9 conceded from 6.7 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.