Porto xG 2026/27

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The Porto xG picture

Updated 9 Oct 2026, 21:47 BST

Across the 7 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Porto scored 18 from 16.1 expected goals and conceded 3 from 6.9 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 1.9 goals and the defence conceded 3.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 7 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored18

Expected (xG)16.1

Overperformed by 1.9 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded3

Expected against (xGA)6.9

Conceded 3.9 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Porto better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 18 scored from 16.1 xG, 3 conceded from 6.9 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.