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Örgryte generated 16.3 expected goals across 16 covered matches in the 2026 season, converting these chances into 17 actual goals. Their attack delta of 0.7 suggests marginal overperformance in finishing.
Defensively, the team conceded 33.3 expected goals but allowed 34 actual goals across their covered fixtures. A defence delta of 0.7 indicates near-parity between expected and actual defensive outcomes.
Covered sample: 17 scored from 16.3 xG, 34 conceded from 33.3 xGA over 16 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
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