Newcastle United xG 2025/26

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5 latest covered matches

The Newcastle United xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 23:22 BST

Across the 6 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Newcastle United scored 8 from 8.2 expected goals and conceded 8 from 10.4 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.2 goals and the defence conceded 2.4 fewer than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored8

Expected (xG)8.2

Underperformed by 0.2 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded8

Expected against (xGA)10.4

Conceded 2.4 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 6 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Newcastle United better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 8 scored from 8.2 xG, 8 conceded from 10.4 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.