Lincoln City xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Lincoln City xG picture

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 19:14 BST

Across the 10 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Lincoln City scored 7 from 12.7 expected goals and conceded 17 from 15.1 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 5.7 goals and the defence conceded 1.9 more than expected. Coverage is 10 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

10 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored7

Expected (xG)12.7

Underperformed by 5.7 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded17

Expected against (xGA)15.1

Conceded 1.9 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Lincoln City better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 7 scored from 12.7 xG, 17 conceded from 15.1 xGA over 10 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.