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Across the 9 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Lazio scored 22 from 13.4 expected goals and conceded 7 from 10.8 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 8.6 goals and the defence conceded 3.8 fewer than expected. Coverage is 9 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 22 scored from 13.4 xG, 7 conceded from 10.8 xGA over 9 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
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