Holstein Kiel xG 2025/26

2. BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1602

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5 latest covered matches

The Holstein Kiel xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 21:27 BST

Across the 3 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Holstein Kiel scored 5 from 3.9 expected goals and conceded 5 from 4.6 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 1.1 goals and the defence conceded 0.4 more than expected. Coverage is 3 of 9 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

3 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored5

Expected (xG)3.9

Overperformed by 1.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded5

Expected against (xGA)4.6

Conceded 0.4 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 3 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Holstein Kiel better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 5 scored from 3.9 xG, 5 conceded from 4.6 xGA over 3 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.