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Across the 2 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Hapoel Be'er Sheva scored 4 from 3.2 expected goals and conceded 6 from 4.5 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 0.8 goals and the defence conceded 1.5 more than expected. Coverage is 2 of 7 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 4 scored from 3.2 xG, 6 conceded from 4.5 xGA over 2 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
