Hamburger SV xG 2026/27

BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1485

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5 latest covered matches

The Hamburger SV xG picture

Updated 27 Oct 2026, 03:30 GMT

Hamburger SV generated 5.8 expected goals across 7 matches in the 2026/27 season, scoring 6 goals from those opportunities. Their attack delta of 0.2 suggests performance closely aligned with underlying chance quality. Defensively, the club conceded 12.9 expected goals over the same period, with 16 goals actually conceded, reflecting a defence delta of 3.1.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored6

Expected (xG)5.8

Overperformed by 0.2 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded16

Expected against (xGA)12.9

Conceded 3.1 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 8 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hamburger SV better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 6 scored from 5.8 xG, 16 conceded from 12.9 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.