Hamburger SV xG 2026/27

BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1485

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5 latest covered matches

The Hamburger SV xG picture

Updated 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 BST

Hamburger SV generated an expected goals total of 1.4 across 3 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, whilst conceding 5.8 expected goals against. Their attack differential stood at -1.4, indicating they underperformed their expected output.

Defensively, the club's defence differential of 6.2 reflects a notable gap between expected and actual goals conceded. Across all matches tracked, they scored 10 goals and conceded 12.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

3 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored0

Expected (xG)1.4

Underperformed by 1.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded12

Expected against (xGA)5.8

Conceded 6.2 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 6 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hamburger SV better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 0 scored from 1.4 xG, 12 conceded from 5.8 xGA over 3 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.