Hamburger SV xG 2025/26

BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1485

Recent form

D-W-L-L-L

5 latest covered matches

The Hamburger SV xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 14:00 BST

Across the 3 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Hamburger SV scored 3 from 4.6 expected goals and conceded 6 from 6.5 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 1.6 goals and the defence conceded 0.5 fewer than expected. Coverage is 3 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

3 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored3

Expected (xG)4.6

Underperformed by 1.6 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded6

Expected against (xGA)6.5

Conceded 0.5 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 3 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hamburger SV better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 3 scored from 4.6 xG, 6 conceded from 6.5 xGA over 3 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.