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Across the 16 2026 matches with verified per-match xG, Halmstad scored 12 from 20.5 expected goals and conceded 30 from 29.0 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 8.5 goals and the defence conceded 1.0 more than expected. Coverage is 16 of 16 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 12 scored from 20.5 xG, 30 conceded from 29.0 xGA over 16 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
