Exeter City xG 2025/26
Recent form
L
1 latest covered matches
Latest result
L 1-2 v Bradford City
2 May 2026
Next fixture
at Plymouth Argyle
Mon 10 Aug, 20:00
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 3 Aug 2026, 16:00 BST
The Exeter City xG picture
UpdatedAcross the 3 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Exeter City scored 5 from 3.7 expected goals and conceded 6 from 4.6 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 1.3 goals and the defence conceded 1.4 more than expected. Coverage is 3 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals versus expected, 2025/26
3 covered matches
Attack: goals vs expected
Goals scored5
Expected (xG)3.7
Overperformed by 1.3 goals in covered matches
Defence: conceded vs expected
Goals conceded6
Expected against (xGA)4.6
Conceded 1.4 more than expected in covered matches
xG difference, last 3 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent
What the numbers mean
Reviewed with every data refresh
Are Exeter City better or worse than their results?
Covered sample: 5 scored from 3.7 xG, 6 conceded from 4.6 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.