Chicago Fire xG 2026

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5 latest covered matches

The Chicago Fire xG picture

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 02:30 BST

Across the 21 2026 matches with verified per-match xG, Chicago Fire scored 40 from 37.2 expected goals and conceded 32 from 29.1 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 2.8 goals and the defence conceded 2.9 more than expected. Coverage is 21 of 21 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026

21 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored40

Expected (xG)37.2

Overperformed by 2.8 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded32

Expected against (xGA)29.1

Conceded 2.9 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Chicago Fire better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 40 scored from 37.2 xG, 32 conceded from 29.1 xGA over 21 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.