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Across the 13 2026 matches with verified per-match xG, Chicago Fire scored 26 from 24.3 expected goals and conceded 18 from 17.6 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 1.7 goals and the defence conceded 0.4 more than expected. Coverage is 13 of 13 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 26 scored from 24.3 xG, 18 conceded from 17.6 xGA over 13 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
