Cardiff City xG 2025/26

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Updated 2 Aug 2026, 23:24 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Cardiff City scored 14 from 9.0 expected goals and conceded 8 from 7.3 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 5.0 goals and the defence conceded 0.7 more than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored14

Expected (xG)9

Overperformed by 5.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded8

Expected against (xGA)7.3

Conceded 0.7 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Cardiff City better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 14 scored from 9.0 xG, 8 conceded from 7.3 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.