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Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Brighton scored 13 from 9.2 expected goals and conceded 5 from 6.9 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 3.8 goals and the defence conceded 1.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 13 scored from 9.2 xG, 5 conceded from 6.9 xGA over 4 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
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