Brighton xG 2025/26

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5 latest covered matches

The Brighton xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 12:57 BST

Across the 6 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Brighton scored 9 from 10.1 expected goals and conceded 9 from 6.5 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 1.1 goals and the defence conceded 2.5 more than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored9

Expected (xG)10.1

Underperformed by 1.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded9

Expected against (xGA)6.5

Conceded 2.5 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 6 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Brighton better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 9 scored from 10.1 xG, 9 conceded from 6.5 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.