Brentford xG 2025/26

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5 latest covered matches

The Brentford xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 14:01 BST

Across the 4 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Brentford scored 6 from 5.6 expected goals and conceded 6 from 8.7 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 0.4 goals and the defence conceded 2.7 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

4 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored6

Expected (xG)5.6

Overperformed by 0.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded6

Expected against (xGA)8.7

Conceded 2.7 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 4 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Brentford better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 6 scored from 5.6 xG, 6 conceded from 8.7 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.