Brentford xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Brentford xG picture

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 22:27 GMT

Across the 9 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Brentford scored 16 from 14.5 expected goals and conceded 9 from 12.3 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 1.5 goals and the defence conceded 3.3 fewer than expected. Coverage is 9 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

9 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored16

Expected (xG)14.5

Overperformed by 1.5 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded9

Expected against (xGA)12.3

Conceded 3.3 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Brentford better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 16 scored from 14.5 xG, 9 conceded from 12.3 xGA over 9 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.