Birmingham xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Birmingham xG picture

Updated 17 Sept 2026, 13:48 BST

Across the 7 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Birmingham scored 10 from 10.1 expected goals and conceded 9 from 7.0 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.1 goals and the defence conceded 2.0 more than expected. Coverage is 7 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored10

Expected (xG)10.1

Underperformed by 0.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded9

Expected against (xGA)7

Conceded 2.0 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 9 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Birmingham better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 10 scored from 10.1 xG, 9 conceded from 7.0 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.