Bayern München xG 2025/26

BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1665

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2 latest covered matches

The Bayern München xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 16:53 BST

Across the 4 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Bayern München scored 13 from 11.7 expected goals and conceded 6 from 6.4 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 1.3 goals and the defence conceded 0.4 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

4 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored13

Expected (xG)11.7

Overperformed by 1.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded6

Expected against (xGA)6.4

Conceded 0.4 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Bayern München better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 13 scored from 11.7 xG, 6 conceded from 6.4 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.