Bayer Leverkusen xG 2026/27

BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1610 4 clips this week

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2 latest covered matches

The Bayer Leverkusen xG picture

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 GMT

Bayer Leverkusen generated 12 expected goals across 7 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, scoring 10 goals from those opportunities. Their attack delta of 2 indicates they underperformed their expected output by that margin. Defensively, they conceded 12.6 expected goals whilst allowing 16 actual goals across covered fixtures, representing a defence delta of 3.4.

The club's overall performance shows a notable gap between expected and actual defensive outcomes. Whilst their attacking efficiency remained close to model predictions, their backline proved more vulnerable than underlying metrics suggested, conceding 3.4 more goals than the xG model anticipated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored14

Expected (xG)12

Overperformed by 2.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded16

Expected against (xGA)12.6

Conceded 3.4 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 9 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Bayer Leverkusen better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 14 scored from 12.0 xG, 16 conceded from 12.6 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.