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Across the 5 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Austria Lustenau scored 5 from 6.2 expected goals and conceded 9 from 8.3 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 1.2 goals and the defence conceded 0.7 more than expected. Coverage is 5 of 5 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 5 scored from 6.2 xG, 9 conceded from 8.3 xGA over 5 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
