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Across the 9 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Atalanta scored 16 from 13.1 expected goals and conceded 17 from 17.8 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 2.9 goals and the defence conceded 0.8 fewer than expected. Coverage is 9 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 16 scored from 13.1 xG, 17 conceded from 17.8 xGA over 9 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
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