Aston Villa xG 2026/27

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The Aston Villa xG picture

Updated 18 Sept 2026, 03:52 BST

Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Aston Villa scored 1 from 2.8 expected goals and conceded 7 from 7.0 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 1.8 goals and the defence conceded 0.0 more than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

4 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored1

Expected (xG)2.8

Underperformed by 1.8 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded7

Expected against (xGA)7

Conceded 0.0 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Aston Villa better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 1 scored from 2.8 xG, 7 conceded from 7.0 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.