Aston Villa xG 2025/26

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3 latest covered matches

The Aston Villa xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 23:03 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Aston Villa scored 13 from 8.4 expected goals and conceded 10 from 5.9 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 4.6 goals and the defence conceded 4.1 more than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored13

Expected (xG)8.4

Overperformed by 4.6 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded10

Expected against (xGA)5.9

Conceded 4.1 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 7 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Aston Villa better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 13 scored from 8.4 xG, 10 conceded from 5.9 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.