Arsenal xG 2025/26

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The Arsenal xG picture

Updated 4 Aug 2026, 07:06 BST

Across the 6 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Arsenal scored 9 from 10.3 expected goals and conceded 3 from 5.1 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 1.3 goals and the defence conceded 2.1 fewer than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored9

Expected (xG)10.3

Underperformed by 1.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded3

Expected against (xGA)5.1

Conceded 2.1 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 8 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Arsenal better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 9 scored from 10.3 xG, 3 conceded from 5.1 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.