Arsenal xG 2026/27

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The Arsenal xG picture

Updated 18 Sept 2026, 22:18 BST

Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Arsenal scored 8 from 7.5 expected goals and conceded 1 from 2.3 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 0.5 goals and the defence conceded 1.3 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

4 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored8

Expected (xG)7.5

Overperformed by 0.5 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded1

Expected against (xGA)2.3

Conceded 1.3 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Arsenal better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 8 scored from 7.5 xG, 1 conceded from 2.3 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.