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Across the 10 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Almería scored 20 from 13.8 expected goals and conceded 9 from 12.5 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 6.2 goals and the defence conceded 3.5 fewer than expected. Coverage is 10 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 20 scored from 13.8 xG, 9 conceded from 12.5 xGA over 10 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
UD Almería · X
LALIGA HYPERMOTION · X
Real Oviedo · X
Cádiz Club de Fútbol · X