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Aalesund generated 22.7 expected goals across 15 matches in the 2026 season, converting these chances into 26 actual goals. Their attack outperformed the xG model by 3.3 goals, suggesting clinical finishing.
Defensively, Aalesund conceded 26.9 expected goals but allowed 34 actual goals across the same period. This 7.1-goal underperformance indicates defensive vulnerabilities beyond what chance quality alone would predict.
Covered sample: 26 scored from 22.7 xG, 34 conceded from 26.9 xGA over 15 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
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| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | 20 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 20 | 19 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 20 | 18 |
| 16 | Start | 20 | 16 |
Live 2026 table.