Club
Atalanta
Serie A
Role
Centre Forward
Shirt 90
Verified scope
2025/2026 · 5 apps
Derived from match records
Availability
No active injury record
Missing data not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 6 Aug 2026, 01:00 BST
The Krstović finishing picture
UpdatedNikola Krstović has 3.2 expected goals and 2 actual goals in the covered sample of 5 appearances, a shortfall of 1.2.
Chance quality has run ahead of output; when finishing lags xG this far the model reads it as cold variance until the underlying numbers move.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals vs expected goals
Per-match xG, last 5 covered appearances
xG by match (pink = scored)
0.97 Mar 2026
0.314 Mar 2026
0.322 Mar 2026
1.26 Apr 2026
0.511 Apr 2026
Season sample summary
Goals2
Expected goals (xG)3.2
Finishing delta-1.2
Assists0
Model readCold variance, not decline
Finishing profile
Shot coordinates: ingest pending, dots land when shot-level data arrives
Shots in sample22
On target5 (23%)
Goals2
xG per shot0.15
Conversion9% of 22 attempts