Matthew Dennis xG
FIT
6Apps
0Goals
1.2xG
0Assists
6.4Rating
Club
Notts County
League Two
Role
Centre Forward
Shirt 19
Verified scope
2025/2026 · 6 apps
Derived from match records
Availability
No active injury record
Missing data not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 28 Jul 2026, 18:01 BST
The Dennis finishing picture
UpdatedMatthew Dennis has 1.2 expected goals and 0 actual goals in the covered sample of 6 appearances, a shortfall of 1.2.
Chance quality has run ahead of output; when finishing lags xG this far the model reads it as cold variance until the underlying numbers move.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals vs expected goals
Per-match xG, last 3 covered appearances
xG by match (pink = scored)
0.714 Mar 2026
0.328 Mar 2026
0.211 Apr 2026
Season sample summary
Goals0
Expected goals (xG)1.2
Finishing delta-1.2
Assists0
Model readCold variance, not decline