Burton Albion xG 2026/27

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Updated 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 BST

Burton Albion generated an expected goals total of 4 across 6 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, with an attack differential of 6. Their defensive record showed 6.9 expected goals conceded over the same period, representing a defence differential of 3.1.

In terms of actual output, the club scored 10 goals across 10 covered fixtures whilst conceding 10 goals in the same number of matches.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored10

Expected (xG)4

Overperformed by 6.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded10

Expected against (xGA)6.9

Conceded 3.1 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Burton Albion better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 10 scored from 4.0 xG, 10 conceded from 6.9 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.