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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW11Ref: Jarosław Przybył
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Zagłębie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok result, stats and report

Zagłębie Lubin
Won · xG 2.10
1 – 0
FT 00:55
Lost · xG 1.73
Jagiellonia Białystok
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Zagłębie Lubin v Górnik Zabrze · Sat 21 Nov · Cracovia Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Zagłębie LubinJagiellonia BiałystokPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Zagłębie Lubin win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ZAG
42.8%
Draw
25.4%
JAG
31.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.4%
Over 2.5 goals
52.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Zagłębie Lubin win was the highest probability; the match result was Zagłębie Lubin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
25%
32%
42.8%ZAG
25.4%Draw
31.8%JAG

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.3%No 47.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ZAG or draw at 51.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
51.2%
12
6.7%
X2
42.1%

Half-Time Result

ZAG
36.6%
Draw
37.5%
JAG
25.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ZAG
Draw
JAG
ZAG
26.4%
5.7%
3.0%
Draw
13.9%
15.9%
9.7%
JAG
2.7%
5.3%
17.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.