This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Zagłębie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok result, stats and report
Who won Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Zagłębie Lubin 1-0 Jagiellonia Białystok, full time in Polish Ekstraklasa. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Jagiellonia Białystok won it.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Zagłębie Lubin 1–0 Jagiellonia Białystok
Zagłębie Lubin have not lost in their last five Ekstraklasa matches, but Jagiellonia Białystok arrive in Lubin having already beaten them this year. Something has to give.
Zagłębie Lubin beat Jagiellonia Białystok 1-0 at home.
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Zagłębie Lubin to win
Result
1:0
ZAG v JAG
📊 Match recap and data context
Zagłębie Lubin beat Jagiellonia Białystok 1-0 in the Polish Ekstraklasa, with Sebastian Kerk converting a penalty in the 77th minute to secure the win. Our model backed Zagłębie at 43 percent probability and the pick landed. Jagiellonia had conceded in all five recent matches but managed to keep the scoring down to one goal here, frustrating their recent pattern of both teams scoring. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Zagłębie Lubin v Jagiellonia Białystok · Polish Ekstraklasa ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Zagłębie Lubin win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- ZAG
- 42.8%
- Draw
- 25.4%
- JAG
- 31.8%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 56.4%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Zagłębie Lubin win was the highest probability; the match result was Zagłębie Lubin win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Jagiellonia Białystok, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 40 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Jagiellonia Białystok, the final recorded goal situation matched 13 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Zagłębie Lubin, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 40 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Zagłębie Lubin, the final recorded goal situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 1-2is the most common scoreline between Zagłębie Lubin and Jagiellonia Białystok, landing 4 times across 25 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 12/25recorded league meetings saw both teams score (48%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 4league matches at home unbeaten for Zagłębie Lubin.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 8league matches away from home unbeaten for Jagiellonia Białystok.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Zagłębie Lubin scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Jagiellonia Białystok scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
ZAG beat JAG 1-0 in the Polish Ekstraklasa.Who scored the opening goal?
Sebastian Kerk opened the scoring in the 77th minute.Who scored in the match?
Sebastian Kerk (77').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 3 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Jarosław Przybył officiated.When and where was the match played?
ZAG vs JAG kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.When do they play next?
ZAG play Zagłębie Lubin on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time. JAG play Cracovia Kraków on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.