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EFL Championship · MW11 STōK Cae Ras, WrecsamRef: Simon Hooper
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Wrexham 4-1 Preston result, stats and report

Wrexham
Won · xG 2.00
4 – 1
FT 03:45
Lost · xG 0.80
Preston
Next: Wrexham v Middlesbrough · Wed 4 Nov · Preston v Sheffield Utd · Tue 3 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

WrexhamPrestonEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Wrexham win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Wrexham
45.6%
Draw
26.1%
Preston
28.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
48.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Wrexham win was the highest probability; the match result was Wrexham win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
26%
28%
45.6%Wrexham
26.1%Draw
28.2%Preston

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.8%No 51.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Wrexham or draw at 56.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.1%.

Double Chance

1X
56.0%
12
7.6%
X2
36.5%

Half-Time Result

Wrexham
33.9%
Draw
45.2%
Preston
20.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Wrexham
Draw
Preston
Wrexham
27.0%
5.4%
2.7%
Draw
17.5%
15.7%
9.8%
Preston
3.6%
5.0%
13.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.1%
No
93.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.