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EFL Championship · MW6 STōK Cae Ras, WrecsamRef: Tim Robinson
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Wrexham 1-1 Burnley result, stats and report

Wrexham
Drew · xG 1.76
1 – 1
FT 17:25
Drew · xG 1.57
Burnley
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Wrexham v Middlesbrough · Wed 4 Nov · QPR v Burnley · Tue 3 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

WrexhamBurnleyEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Wrexham win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Wrexham
45.8%
Draw
26.9%
Burnley
27.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.5%
Over 2.5 goals
47.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Wrexham win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
27%
27%
45.8%Wrexham
26.9%Draw
27.3%Burnley

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 47.3%No 52.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Wrexham or draw at 51.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.5%.

Double Chance

1X
51.9%
12
8.7%
X2
39.5%

Half-Time Result

Wrexham
33.8%
Draw
41.7%
Burnley
24.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Wrexham
Draw
Burnley
Wrexham
26.0%
5.0%
2.4%
Draw
15.2%
16.4%
10.4%
Burnley
3.6%
5.2%
15.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.